A Fundamental Shift: The Future of the Global MSM and HIV Movement

This Foresight Scenario Planning document provides a global perspective on the possible futures of the MSM and HIV movements 25 years into the future. The scenarios presented in this Foresight Document can assist decision makers in assessing their assumptions, highlighting hidden mental maps, and drafting policies for the future. They are simple tools to help policy makers and advocates to envision what the world would look like if different policies or programs are implemented. These scenarios can be used to review or test a range of plans and policy options, the understanding being that different scenarios are likely to result in different outcomes with different benefits and drawbacks. Scenarios can be used to stimulate the development of new policies, or as the basis for a strategic vision. They are also a useful means of identifying early indicators of trends that may signal a shift towards a certain future outcome.

This Foresight Document provides a framework to think about how the future will evolve and how to
position ourselves in order to influence the future. It explicates what policy and program decisions could lead us down a certain path, and provide guidelines about what we can do or stop doing today that might influence the future.